Ask an airport how it is approaching ground support equipment electrification and you will usually hear about chargers — how many, how fast, which vendor. Ask the utility the same question and you will hear about something else entirely: the peak. The single number that governs the size of the electrical service, the transformer, the demand charge, and ultimately the feasibility of the whole programme is not only how much energy the fleet consumes over a year. It is how much power it draws in the worst fifteen minutes. That number is a property of the charging load profile — and the load profile is a choice, not a given.

That distinction is now backed by hard modelling. In a 2026 Nature Communications study, He and colleagues built a bottom-up, agent-based simulation of electric GSE operations across 317 major US airports, using real flight arrival and departure data to schedule the service and charging events of eight equipment types — aircraft tractors, ground power units, baggage tractors, belt loaders, cargo loaders, catering trucks, lavatory trucks, and water trucks. The model generates minute-level charging load profiles for every airport under a range of charging strategies. Its central lesson for planners is blunt: the charging strategy, far more than the charger catalogue, determines what you have to build.

What the Load Profile Actually Looks Like

The magnitude scales sharply with airport size and, more precisely, with flight arrival volume. Large hub airports see peak eGSE power demand ranging from roughly 1–2 MW up to 10–20 MW depending on the charging scenario; medium and small hubs generally sit below 5 MW; non-hub airports stay under 1 MW. Annual energy consumption at the largest airports approaches 51,000 MWh, with average daily consumption around 140 MWh. Peak demand tracks the arrival bank almost one-for-one — the busier the apron, the taller the spike.

The shape matters as much as the spike. Under opportunity-based charging — vehicles plugging in when their state of charge runs low, or immediately after each turn — demand is concentrated during daytime hours, riding the same curve as flight activity, then falling away from midnight to early morning before climbing again as operations resume. This is intuitive: the fleet charges when it works. It is also the profile most likely to coincide with the airport’s other electrical peaks, stacking eGSE demand on top of terminal HVAC and lighting at exactly the wrong time. One structural insight from the modelling is worth flagging for design teams: ground power units alone account for nearly half of total eGSE energy demand, so any strategy that reduces or reshapes GPU load — gate electrification chief among them — moves the biggest single lever.

Charging Strategy Is the Peak-Demand Lever

Here is the finding that should reorganise how airports plan: charging strategy has essentially no effect on total energy consumed, but a large effect on peak power demand and on the number of vehicles and chargers required. Energy is a function of the work the fleet does; peak is a function of how you choose to refuel it. That means the demand charge — and the grid upgrade — is, to a real degree, a decision rather than a constraint.

The study compares three strategies. Threshold charging tops up a vehicle only when its charge is insufficient for the next task. Immediate charging plugs in after every service event; it produces similar timing to threshold charging but generally a higher peak, accelerates battery degradation, and needs more chargers. Scheduled overnight charging confines refuelling to a fixed off-peak window — typically around 10:00 p.m. to 8:00 a.m. Each produces a materially different load profile from the same underlying flight schedule.

The overnight strategy is the most counter-intuitive and the most instructive. It moves demand into the cheap, quiet hours when overall airport electricity use is low and, under time-of-use tariffs, energy prices and demand charges are typically lower — a genuine cost advantage. But because every vehicle is deliberately scheduled into one window, it tends to produce a higher in-window peak than opportunity charging unless the load is carefully spread across the whole off-peak interval, and it requires more GSE units and more chargers: a vehicle that depletes before the window opens is simply unavailable, so operators must add equipment to keep the apron running. Off-peak charging, in short, trades a lower-cost peak for higher capital in fleet and chargers — a trade that only pencils out if the demand-charge saving exceeds the extra hardware.

Charger Power Is the Other Dial

Charger power rating is the second design variable, and it works against intuition too. Higher-power 40 kW chargers finish faster and need fewer units, but they concentrate draw and lift the peak. Lower-power 20 kW chargers spread the same energy over a longer period, flattening the profile and reducing peak demand for many airports — but they keep vehicles tied up longer, so the fleet needs more vehicles and more chargers to maintain the same operational tempo. There is no universally correct answer; the right charger power falls out of the airport’s own load profile, apron tempo, and demand-charge structure. The point is that peak demand is something the planner dials in through the combination of strategy and charger power — not something handed down by the fleet size.

From Load Profile to Demand Charge — and How to Bend It

Translate the profile into a bill and the stakes are clear. The demand charge is set by the highest short-interval spike in the billing period, so two airports with identical annual energy can face very different monthly bills purely because of load shape. Every tool that flattens the eGSE peak — staggered smart charging, load management, demand response coordinated with the utility, and deliberate scheduling across the off-peak window — attacks that charge directly. There is also a powerful operational lever the study models explicitly: passenger boarding bridges that supply shore power and pre-conditioned air at the gate eliminate mobile ground power units at equipped stands, removing the single largest slice of eGSE energy demand from the charging load altogether and lowering both fleet size and peak.

The most effective peak mitigation, though, is behind-the-meter. Using national modelling of storage and on-site solar, the study finds that adding battery energy storage and photovoltaics can cut GSE-related peak demand by roughly 20–50 percent and reduce life-cycle costs by 5–20 percent — with large and medium hubs seeing 20–30 percent peak reductions and smaller airports benefiting even more. Storage lets an airport charge the batteries in the trough and discharge them into the peak, decoupling the grid draw from the charging schedule entirely. For a large hub, that can mean shaving several megawatts off the peak and saving on the order of millions of dollars over the system’s life — often while deferring a costly transformer or substation upgrade.

In Brief: Where the Capital Goes

It is worth stating once, because it frames everything above: on a typical airport charging project the chargers, software, and maintenance are only about 10–30 percent of delivered cost, while 70–90 percent is the electrical make-ready — transformers, switchgear, feeders, and utility line extensions (industry estimates, RMI). That is precisely why the load profile matters so much. Every megawatt of peak you design out through charging strategy, charger sizing, gate power, or behind-the-meter storage is a megawatt of expensive grid infrastructure you may not have to build. Managing the peak is not only an operating-cost play; it is the most direct way to hold down the capital that dominates the project.

What the Leaders Are Doing

Boston Logan’s programme illustrates the charger-power dial in practice, deploying a tiered mix of 50 kW, 150 kW, and 350 kW DC fast chargers matched to duty cycle rather than defaulting every stand to maximum power — the practical expression of shaping the peak rather than chasing charge speed. Dallas Fort Worth shows the value of treating this as a modelling discipline: having run electric GSE at scale for the better part of a decade, DFW became a reference site for detailed electrification assessment work in 2025 that quantified site-specific power, charger, and infrastructure demands — exactly the minute-level, profile-driven analysis the He study generalises to the national fleet.

Avinia’s View

Electrification should be designed backwards from the load profile. Before selecting a single charger, an airport should model its own minute-level eGSE demand from its actual flight schedule, then treat charging strategy and charger power as the primary levers for shaping the peak — not as procurement afterthoughts. Prefer opportunity or threshold charging where daytime grid headroom exists; use scheduled off-peak charging where time-of-use tariffs reward it, but size the fleet and chargers for the window. Electrify gate power to strip out GPU load. And wherever the peak is large, evaluate behind-the-meter storage and solar early, because a 20–50 percent peak reduction can defer the very transformer and substation upgrades that dominate project cost. The charger is the visible part of electrification. The load profile is the part that decides whether it is affordable.